Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.779204 2.138328 2.542449 3.029551 3.599340 4.243291 5.024656
2025-12-28 1.326666 1.798519 2.387509 3.171050 4.179618 5.427041 7.078611
2026-01-04 1.027123 1.540243 2.238132 3.243977 4.641203 6.495624 9.121299
2026-01-11 0.845609 1.382505 2.167812 3.377893 5.167393 7.681995 11.438632
2026-01-18 0.684079 1.210687 2.033564 3.379830 5.484034 8.592081 13.455660
2026-01-25 0.540007 1.030843 1.847291 3.259949 5.583656 9.175813 15.037669
2026-02-01 0.430237 0.882586 1.680679 3.135510 5.643911 9.685991 16.536970
2026-02-08 0.362133 0.793359 1.595889 3.128817 5.884557 10.490300 18.559213
2026-02-15 0.309071 0.720861 1.526855 3.135225 6.140684 11.335239 20.714845
2026-02-22 0.260873 0.647311 1.442046 3.096828 6.306504 12.034950 22.679818
2026-03-01 0.210298 0.556843 1.307199 2.939596 6.228874 12.293663 23.894481
2026-03-08 0.178766 0.502400 1.236750 2.898713 6.363622 12.939498 25.843210
2026-03-15 0.153383 0.457692 1.181259 2.884156 6.555236 13.721599 28.136825
2026-03-22 0.143616 0.450756 1.210210 3.056592 7.148357 15.322636 32.100975
2026-03-29 0.129487 0.428744 1.199802 3.139070 7.561449 16.609272 35.570060
2026-04-05 0.119695 0.416572 1.211191 3.272962 8.099124 18.188980 39.733866
2026-04-12 0.104948 0.385981 1.170371 3.276061 8.346754 19.198345 42.841811
2026-04-19 0.087533 0.342203 1.086465 3.159880 8.308323 19.606557 44.760458
2026-04-26 0.072773 0.302610 1.005978 3.039011 8.242280 19.945719 46.557000
2026-05-03 0.063899 0.280624 0.971241 3.032538 8.448137 20.890306 49.697268
2026-05-10 0.056555 0.261988 0.942826 3.038779 8.685304 21.922964 53.102175
2026-05-17 0.049074 0.240444 0.901177 3.001454 8.807634 22.704467 56.014561
2026-05-24 0.040126 0.209814 0.823908 2.848610 8.612129 22.732857 57.251995